Second international conference on vulnerability and risk analysis and management (ICVRAM2014) & sixth international symposium on uncertainty modelling and analysis (ISUMA2014)

Event Organisers: 

University of Liverpool, Institute for Risk and Uncertainty


European Forum for Disaster Risk Reduction

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, Regional Office for Europe


13/07/2014 to 16/07/2014


ASCE-ICVRAM-ISUMA provides a multi-disciplinary forum for the exchange of knowledge and expertise, in the Quan­tification, Mitigation and Management of Risk and Uncertainty, and in Decision Making.

The event is aimed at specialized and synergistic developments in both theory and practice.

Hazards, risks and respective mitigation strategies are of rapidly growing interest in infrastructure systems and the built environment. This includes natural and man-made hazards, economical and banking risks, security risks, critical incidents, insurance risks, environmental risks, nuclear risks, structural vulnerability and reliability, infrastructure security, structural and infrastructure robustness, software reliability, energy risks, supply chain vulnerability, policy development and many more. Major challenges in the development of solutions are concerned with the high complexity and the multidisciplinary character of the problems as well as with the comprehensive quantification, efficient processing and management of the involved uncertainties. Proposed approaches are being developed using probabilistic (including Bayesian) concepts, fuzzy and interval concepts, imprecise probabilities etc.

The objective of this conference is to bring experts and decision makers from different disciplines but working on similar problems together to share information on current and emerging developments and to initiate advancements towards a solution to our challenges through cross-fertilization. This conference and subsequent publications will help transition intellectual discussions into robust frameworks for handling emerging vulnerabilities and risks, and provide the leadership and initiative required to respond to national and international disasters.


  • Economic risk and life-cycle cost analysis
  • Insurance risk and securitization methods
  • Risk analysis and risk management
  • Social and security risk
  • Natural, environmental and human-induced hazards and vulnerabilities
  • Complex networks and infrastructure systems
  • Risk-informed decision making
  • System identification and reliability updating
  • Simulation and soft computing
  • Probabilistic modelling and analysis
  • Generalized theories of uncertainty



University of Liverpool

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